Selbst wenn Biden verliert, dürfte Arizona gedreht werde. Hier eine schöne Analyse dazu:
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaig...ble-in-arizonaOf the 313 precincts in 2016 that voted for Trump in Maricopa County — the largest county in the state — 88 flipped over to Sinema in 2018, while McSally was unable to flip even one of the 317 precincts that supported Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Polls show Trump’s support has eroded among key groups that supported him in 2016, such as older people and white voters without a college education.
In addition, changing demographics from domestic migration have altered the political landscape in Arizona, which is one of the fastest growing states in the country. Blue states such as California, Oregon, Washington and Illinois are among the biggest feeder states into Arizona. A growing tech industry has attracted a younger and more liberal workforce.
Und im Senatsrennen schaut es schon ganz düster aus:
“I would not be totally surprised to see the Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee give up on McSally at some point to move resources into Colorado, Maine and North Carolina,” said Mike O’Neil, a veteran pollster in Arizona.